The projections from the data were wildly off base but were the basis for this national lockdown. Remember when you hear that social distancing and other measures are why the projections are now being revised down: key data models assumed full social distancing.
Check out this thread and give me your views:
1/ Let’s talk more about the magic of “social distancing”: yesterday the Ohio governor said it had reduced the state’s projected peak daily cases from 62,000 to 1,600. Awesome! But let’s take a closer look, shall we? pic.twitter.com/9xZRmkO7gF
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
2/ The state’s “unmitigated” model “projects” that without mitigation, the peak of 62,000 will occur (will HAVE OCCURED, to be more accurate) on March 22… pic.twitter.com/7kqrNbRuBP
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
3/ Only Ohio didn’t *actually* issue a lockdown order until Monday, March 23. Yes, lockdowns are such magic that they can PREVENT (theoretical) peaks that occurred before they were issued… pic.twitter.com/H9JfRpCZ0q
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
4/ Folks, at this point it’s like an exercise to see if anyone is paying attention, a combination of a national folie a deux and Munchausen’s syndrome by proxy. WHAT IS GOING ON?
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
And check out this:
Time to start using more straightforward language and calling out people who don’t tell the truth, like @pbump. The original model explicitly accounted for the effect of lockdowns. It was wrong in real-time, embarrassingly so; that’s why it’s been updated. (It’s still wrong.) https://t.co/4KcjswcDWO
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
From the April 1 model:
Proof: pic.twitter.com/4x1TMSEEg9
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
IT’S ENOUGH ALREADY
1/ Look, I get why people were so scared three or four weeks ago. I was too. But now – for the media to ignore the real demographics and scare people with outlier cases – to ignore the mostly empty hospitals all over the country – to pretend that the models weren’t wrong…
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
2/ And to refuse to ask really hard questions about what that means about them and the efficacy or lack thereof of the lockdowns – to refuse to ask for hard metrics we will use to reopen the country…
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
3/ It doesn’t feel like panic is driving this anymore. It feels like people just won’t admit what’s happening.
And we cannot afford that – not with unemployment headed to its worst levels since the Depression, not with children denied school and our rights under siege. #wakeup
— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 9, 2020
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